John Kerry's lead in New York is down to single digits. The Empire State, among the bluest of the Blue States from Election 2000, is still in the Kerry column for our Electoral College projections, but the raw numbers are stunning.
Many pundits (and 26% of voters) think that Election 2004 will be just like Election 2000—too close to call. Others wonder if it’s more like Clinton’s 1996 re-election effort or the 1988 campaign (the first President Bush vs. a different Massachusetts liberal Democrat).
Television news networks would like to see themselves as a team of impartial journalists working on behalf of their audience.
If their favorite team was playing, one-third of the nation's voters would watch the World Series rather than the Presidential Debates.
Twenty-six percent (26%) of voters believe John Kerry's service during the Vietnam era was more admirable than most young men of that era.
Many commentators have speculated that certain days of the week provide better polling results for Republicans while other days are better for Democrats.
In Alabama, President Bush leading by 11 percentage points over Senator Kerry. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Bush with 53% of the vote while Kerry has 42%.
Rasmussen Reports asked voters who they trusted more on a series of ten issues. The electorate is so polarized that neither candidate is preferred by 50% of voters on any issue.
In Wisconsin, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 49% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 47%.
Most Americans (63%) believe their own taxes will remain pretty much the same if George W. Bush is re-elected this November.
Most Americans (63%) believe their own taxes will remain pretty much the same if George W. Bush is re-elected this November. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 24% believe their taxes will go up with a Bush victory while 13% expect their taxes would decline.
In Pennsylvania, President George W. Bush now earns 49% of the vote while Senator John Kerry attracts 48%.
Democrat Stephanie Herseth holds a very narrow lead in her bid for a full term in the U.S. House of Representatives. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey found Herseth leading challenger Larry Diedrich 50% to 47%.
Twenty-six percent (26%) of voters are expecting a repeat of Election 2000 this year--an election that is too close to call.
Fifty-four percent (54%) of Likely Voters say that American elections are generally fair to voters. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 32% say they are not fair.
We have been flooded with e-mails asking (in varying tones of politeness) why our poll results seem different from those released by Time and Newsweek.
Democratic Senator Zell Miller gave a Keynote Address at the Republican National Convention that many reporters instantly branded as bad news for the Republican Party and George W. Bush. However, a Rasmussen Reports survey finds that voter perceptions of Miller are sharply divided along partisan lines.
President Bush gained more than five percentage points over John Kerry during the past three weeks. About half the gains were made before the Republican National Convention and half during Convention week.
Sixty-six percent (66%) of America's Likely Voters believe that, in political terms, George W. Bush is a conservative.
Fifty-two percent (52%) of Americans now believe that President Bush and Vice-President Dick Cheney will be re-elected this November. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that just 38% expect the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards to emerge victorious.
