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Commentary by Michael Barone

Most Recent Releases

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December 20, 2016

How the Political Rules Changed in 2016 By Michael Barone

Over the 40-some years that I have been working or closely observing the political campaign business, the rules of the game haven't changed much. Technology has changed the business somewhat, but the people who ran campaigns in the 1970s could have (and in some cases actually have) run them four decades later.

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December 16, 2016

What's Trump up to on Foreign Policy? by Michael Barone

What is President-elect Donald Trump up to on foreign policy? It's a question with no clear answer. Some will dismiss his appointments and tweets as expressing no more than the impulses of an ignorant and undisciplined temperament -- no more premeditated than the lunges of a rattlesnake.

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December 13, 2016

Some Free Advice for the Democratic Party by Michael Barone

Herewith some unsolicited free advice for the Democratic Party. Whether it's worth more than the price I leave up to Democrats to decide.

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December 9, 2016

The Collapse of the Political Left By Michael Barone

It's been a tough decade for the political left. Eight years ago, a Time magazine cover portrayed Barack Obama as Franklin Roosevelt, complete with a cigarette and holder and a cover line proclaiming, "The New New Deal." A Newsweek cover announced, "We Are All Socialists Now."

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December 6, 2016

Ditching Electoral College Would Allow California to Impose Imperial Rule on a Colonial America by Michael Barone

They're still counting the votes, going on four weeks after the election, in California. In Brazil, a nation with much more challenging geography, they manage to do it in five hours.

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December 2, 2016

Donald Trump and the Outstate Midwest Redraw the Partisan Lines by Michael Barone

Would any Republican besides Donald Trump have beaten Hillary Clinton and been elected the 45th president? It's an interesting question, not susceptible to a definitive answer but with consequences for politics going forward.

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November 29, 2016

Will Donald Trump Do for Infrastructure What He Did for Wollman Rink? by Michael Barone

In May 1986, a 39-year-old Manhattan real estate developer named Donald Trump promised to get Wollman Rink in Central Park up and running -- something the city government, despite spending $13 million, had failed to do for six years. Trump delivered, ahead of time and under a $3 million budget.

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November 24, 2016

The Arc of History Doesn't Always Bend Toward Justice By Michael Barone

History is on our side. That's a claim Barack Obama has made frequently, in his two successful campaigns for president and during his nearly eight years in office. It's a claim that looks a little shakier this Thanksgiving holiday than it did during the Halloween holiday three weeks ago.

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November 22, 2016

The Not-Yet-Emerging Democratic Majority by Michael Barone

What is to become of the Democratic Party? The world's oldest political party, which traces its roots to 1792, is in as dire straits as it has ever been.

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November 18, 2016

Clinton's Dishonesty Costs Her the Midwest -- and the Election By Michael Barone

Hillary Clinton lost the election in the Midwest. Donald Trump won 50 Midwestern electoral votes that went to Barack Obama in 2012 -- Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan and Ohio -- plus 20 more in Pennsylvania, where the two-thirds of voters beyond metro Philadelphia are Midwestern in culture and concerns. Trump could have lost Florida and still won.

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November 15, 2016

The New Key to Immigration Reform: More High-Skilled Immigrants by Michael Barone

One of the issues President-elect Donald Trump says he wants Congress to act on is immigration. That's not entirely surprising, given that he spotlighted just that issue, in incendiary terms, after gliding down that escalator in the Trump Tower and announcing he was running 17 months ago.

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November 11, 2016

Donald Trump's Astounding Victory: How and Why By Michael Barone

 Astounding. That's the best word to describe the tumultuous election night and the (to most people) surprise victory of Donald Trump. Hillary Clinton hoped to win with votes of Northeasterners, including those who have moved south along Interstate 95 to North Carolina and Florida (44 electoral votes). Instead, Trump won with votes along the I-94 and I-80 corridors, from Pennsylvania through Ohio and Michigan to Wisconsin and Iowa (70 electoral votes).

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November 8, 2016

2016: The Demise of Small-r Republican Politics by Michael Barone

Among the many complaints I have seen about this squalid presidential election -- the most dismal choice of major-party nominees since 1856 -- there's one that I find missing: that it shows how our politics have become less republican.

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November 4, 2016

Is Team Clinton Booting the Election? By Michael Barone

In my Nov. 1 column, I looked at the presidential election through the lens of the old children's radio show "Let's Pretend" -- examining how things would look if it turned out that Donald Trump ends up winning.  

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November 1, 2016

Let's Play 'Let's Pretend' By Michael Barone

When I was a child, there was a Saturday morning radio program called "Let's Pretend." It used words and sounds to encourage young children to paint pictures in their heads of make-believe worlds.  

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October 28, 2016

So Far, Trump Not Sinking Down-Ballot Republicans By Michael Barone

Could a flailing Donald Trump campaign hurt down-ballot Republicans and cost the party majorities in the Senate and House? That seems possible, if he loses to Hillary Clinton by a margin similar to those in most current polls and if Americans keep on straight-ticket voting as they have increasingly in recent years.   

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October 25, 2016

The Politics These Two Unpopular Nominees Hath Wrought by Michael Barone

In last week's third and (thank goodness) final presidential debate, each candidate did an excellent job of presenting convincing arguments for why people shouldn't vote for the other.

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October 21, 2016

Despite Trump, Demotic Protest Politics Doesn't Always Fail by Michael Barone

2016 has been a big year for protest politics -- not just in the United States, what with Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump getting over 40 percent of primary votes, but also all over Europe and Latin America, where voters have been rejecting the advice of their nations' political, financial and media establishments.

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October 18, 2016

Which Party Will Hold the Senate and House? By Michael Barone

Which party is going to control the House and hold a majority in the Senate in January 2017? Even if you regard the presidential contest as over -- a proposition for which there is powerful evidence, including Donald Trump's current campaign message choices -- the answers to those questions are, respectively, mildly and very unclear.   

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October 14, 2016

Donald Trump's Invisible Shackles By Michael Barone

"It is so nice that the shackles have been taken off me and I can now fight for America the way I want to," Donald Trump tweeted at the reasonable hour of 10 a.m. on Tuesday.