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Connecticut Senate: Murphy (D) 48%, McMahon (R) 47%

Democratic Congressman Chris Murphy and Republican businesswoman Linda McMahon are in a near tie following their final debate in Connecticut’s testy U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Connecticut Voters shows Murphy with 48% support to McMahon’s 47%. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This race now moves back from Leans Democrat to a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings.

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This Connecticut survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology.

North Dakota: Romney 54%, Obama 40%

Mitt Romney maintains a comfortable lead over President Obama in North Dakota.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Dakota Voters shows Romney with 54% of the vote to Obama’s 40%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 600 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on October 17-18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Generic Congressional Ballot: Republican 44%, Democrats 43%

Republicans have reclaimed the lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot, leading Democrats by one point for the week ending October 21, 2012.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 43% would choose the Democrat instead.

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The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from October 15-21, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Colorado: Romney 50%, Obama 46%

Mitt Romney has now reached the 50% mark for the first time in Colorado and leads President Obama by four in the critical swing state.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Colorado Voters finds Romney with 50% support to Obama’s 46%. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and one percent (1%) remains undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Colorado was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

52% Favor Repeal of Health Care Law

A majority of U.S. voters still wants to repeal of the president’s health care law, but just as many don’t expect their own insurance coverage to change as a result of the law.  

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Voters shows that 52% favor repeal of the law, while 42% are opposed. This includes 41% who Strongly Favor repeal and 33% who are Strongly Opposed to it. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 19-20, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Wisconsin Senate: Thompson (R) 48%, Baldwin (D) 46%

Former Governor Tommy Thompson and Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin are in a near tie in Wisconsin’s down-to-the-wire U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters, taken the night of the candidates’ second debate, shows Thompson with 48% support to Baldwin’s 46%. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Wisconsin survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Iowa: Obama 48%, Romney 48%

President Obama and Mitt Romney are now dead even in the battleground state of Iowa. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters finds Obama and Romney each earning 48% support.  One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, while two percent (2%) are still undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Iowa was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Virginia Senate: Kaine (D) 49% Allen (R) 48%

The U.S. Senate race in Virginia remains a toss-up.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters shows Democrat Tim Kaine with 49% of the vote and Republican George Allen with 48%. Three percent (3%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Florida Senate: Nelson (D) 48%, Mack (R) 43%

Following the candidates’ only face-to-face debate on Wednesday, incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson posts a five-point lead over Republican Connie Mack in Florida’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Voters shows Nelson with 48% support to Mack’s 43%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate, and seven percent (7%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

North Carolina Governor: McCrory (R) 53%, Dalton (D) 42%

Republican Pat McCrory still earns over 50% of the vote in the race to be North Carolina's next governor.  

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Carolina Voters finds McCrory with 53% support, while his Democratic opponent, Lieutenant Governor Walter Dalton, earns 42% of the vote.  Four percent (4%) remain undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending October 20, 20120

The countdown to Election Day continues. President Obama’s much-improved performance in Tuesday night’s debate seems to have stopped his downward trend in the polls but has not yet helped him regain lost ground. Republican hopes for a Senate takeover, on the other hand, are slipping away.

The daily Presidential Tracking Poll continues to show the race far too close to call, Romney has the edge in our daily Swing State survey, and the president still has a slight lead in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections. 

However, seven states with 66 Electoral Votes remain in the Toss-Up category and three states have just shifted from Toss-Up to Leans Romney.— In Florida Romney’s now up by five. In North Carolina, he’s ahead by six. And, the GOP hopeful has a double digit lead in Missouri.

Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 49%, Mandel (R) 44%

Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown has moved back into the lead in his bid for reelection in Ohio.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Brown with 49% of the vote to Republican Josh Mandel’s 44%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 48%

Wisconsin remains a two-point race following Tuesday night’s presidential debate.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters finds President Obama with 50% support, while Mitt Romney earns 48% of the vote. One percent (1%) likes another candidate in the race. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Wisconsin survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Virginia: Romney 50%, Obama 47%

Mitt Romney has now hit the 50% mark in Virginia.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters, taken two nights after the second presidential debate, shows Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 47%. Two percent (2%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

New Hampshire Governor: Lamontagne (R) 48%, Hassan (D) 46%

The race to be New Hampshire’s next governor remains tight.The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely New Hampshire voters finds Republican Ovide Lamontagne with 48% of the vote to Democrat Maggie Hassan’s 46%. Five percent (5%) are undecided at this point. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This New Hampshire survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 15, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 46%

Mitt Romney has taken his biggest lead of the year in Florida and now outpaces President Obama by five points in the key swing state following Tuesday night's debate.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Voters finds Romney with 51% support to Obama’s 46%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and two percent (2%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

North Carolina: Romney 52%, Obama 46%

Mitt Romney has now extended his lead to six points in North Carolina following this week's second presidential debate.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Tar Heel State, taken last night, finds Romney with 52% support to President Obama’s 46%.  One percent (1%) is still undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

A week ago, Romney held a three-point advantage, 51% to 48%, over the president. North Carolina now moves from a Toss-Up to Leans Romney in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. In 2008, Obama was the first Democratic presidential candidate to carry North Carolina in over 30 years.

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 48%

The second presidential debate doesn’t appear to have made a difference in Rasmussen Reports’ first post-debate look at the race in Ohio. It’s still a toss-up.

The latest telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters, taken last night, shows President Obama with 49% support to Mitt Romney’s 48%.  One percent (1%) prefers another candidate, and two percent (2%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  onducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Nevada Senate: Heller (R) 50%, Berkley (D) 43%

Incumbent Republican Dean Heller has opened a seven-point lead over Democratic Congresswoman Shelley Berkley in Nevada’s U.S. Senate race following their second debate and a visit by Bill Clinton to the state on Berkley's behalf.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Nevada Voters shows Heller earning 50% support to Berkley’s 43%. Four percent (4%) like some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This race moves from a Toss-Up to Leans Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings.  The presidential race in Nevada is still a Toss-Up in the Electoral College projections.

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This Nevada survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 15, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology. 

37% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Thirty-seven percent (37%) of Likely U.S. Voters now say the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken the week ending Sunday, October 14.

That’s down a point from 38% the week before which marked the highest level of optimism since June 2009. The latest finding is up 13 points from 24% at the beginning of the year and up 21 points from 16% a year ago.

From July 25 through December 11 of last year, voter confidence in the nation's current course resembled levels measured in the final months of the George W. Bush administration, remaining in the narrow range of 14% to 19%. That finding began climbing in early January of this year to a high of 34% in the second week of February and then regularly tracked in the high 20s to low 30s until the week of September 3-9.

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The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen October 8-14, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.