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October 2, 2014

Americans Don’t Think Incumbents Deserve Reelection

Incumbents might have something to worry about this November as voters do not think their local representative is good for the job nor that they deserve to be reelected.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 23% of Likely U.S. Voters think their representative in Congress is the best person for the job. This finding is up slightly from June which was the lowest finding since November 2009. A plurality (41%) believes their local representative is not the best person for the job. This is down six points from the previous survey and is the lowest finding since June 2013. Thirty-six percent (36%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 25-26, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 1, 2014

25% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Twenty-five percent (25%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending September 28.

The number who say the country is heading in the right direction is unchanged from the previous week and has been below 30% most weeks during the past year. 

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on September 22-28, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 1, 2014

Colorado Senate: Gardner (R) 48%, Udall (D) 47%

One of the most crucial races for Republicans to win control of the U.S. Senate remains a dead heat with just over a month to go until Election Day.

A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Colorado Voters finds Republican Cory Gardner picking up 48% of the vote to Democratic Senator Mark Udall’s 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The survey of 950 Likely Voters in Colorado was conducted on September 29-30, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 1, 2014

Obama’s Full-Month Approval Up One Point in September

When tracking President Obama’s job approval  on a daily basis, people sometimes get so caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations that they miss the bigger picture.  To look at the longer-term trends, Rasmussen Reports compiles the numbers on a full-month basis, and the results can be seen in the graphics below.  

The president’s monthly job approval climbed one point to 47% in September, up from his low for the year reached during the past two months. It's still up just two points from his two-year low of 45% reached last November during the troubled roll-out period for the new national health care law. Obama’s approval rating hit a year-to-date high of 49% in February and May.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night. The monthly numbers in this article are based on approximately 15,000 interviews each month with likely voters. The margin of sampling error is less than +/- 1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

September 30, 2014

Illinois Governor: Quinn (D) 44%, Rauner (R) 42%

Incumbent Democrat Pat Quinn has edged ahead for the first time this year in Illinois’ gubernatorial race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Illinois Voters finds Quinn with 44% support to Republican challenger Bruce Rauner’s 42%. Six percent (6%) like some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Illinois was conducted on September 24-25, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 30, 2014

Arkansas Governor: Hutchinson (R) 46%, Ross (D) 42%

Republican Asa Hutchinson has pulled slightly ahead of Democrat Mike Ross in the race for Arkansas’ next governor.

Hutchinson now picks up 46% of the vote to Ross’ 42% in the latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Arkansas Voters. Four percent (4%) like another candidate in the race, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Arkansas was conducted on September 24-25, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 30, 2014

Rasmussen Employment Index Slips A Point in September

The Rasmussen Employment Index which measures worker confidence fell slightly in September after reaching an all-time high in August.

At 100.3, worker confidence is down one point from 101.2 last month, the highest finding in six years of regular tracking. The index fell to a recent low of 81.2 last October but gained steadily after that. It stood at 82 in September of last year.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 9,284 working Americans was conducted in September 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 29, 2014

Alaska Governor: Walker (I) 47%, Parnell (R) 42%

The Alaska governor’s race has a revised cast of characters and a new front-runner.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Alaska Voters finds Independent candidate Bill Walker with a 47% to 42% lead over incumbent Republican Governor Sean Parnell. Five percent (5%) like some other candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)\

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 713 Likely Voters in Alaska was conducted on September 23-24, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 29, 2014

Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats 40%, Republicans 39%

Democrats have taken a one-point lead on the latest Generic Congressional Ballot.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending September 28 finds that 40% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 39% would choose the Republican.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from September 22-28, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 29, 2014

Voters Still Vote ‘No’ on Obamacare

Views of Obamacare hold steady again this week, with over half of voters continuing to express an unfavorable opinion of the national health care law and overwhelming majorities still calling for choices in health insurance that the law doesn’t allow.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 42% of Likely U.S. Voters share a favorable view of the health care law, while 52% view it unfavorably. This includes 19% with a Very Favorable opinion and twice as many (37%) with a Very Unfavorable one. (To see survey question wording, click here)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 27-28, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 27, 2014

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls: Week Ending September 27

What if they gave an election and nobody came? Voters are pretty fed up with the cast of characters now on the national political stage. 

September 26, 2014

Arkansas Senate: Cotton (R) 47%, Pryor (D) 40%

Republican challenger Tom Cotton has pulled to his largest lead yet over Democratic incumbent Mark Pryor in Arkansas’ race for U.S. Senate.

Cotton now picks up 47% of the vote to Pryor’s 40% in the latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Arkansas Voters. Five percent (5%) like some other candidate in the race, while eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Arkansas was conducted on September 24-25, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 25, 2014

Alaska Senate: Sullivan (R) 48%, Begich (D) 43%

Republican challenger Dan Sullivan has edged further ahead of incumbent Democrat Mark Begich in Alaska’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Alaska Voters finds Sullivan with 48% support to Begich’s 43%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Alaska was conducted on September 23-24, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 24, 2014

25% Say U.S. Heading in the Right Direction

Twenty-five percent (25%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending September 21.

The number who say the country is heading in the right direction is down three points from the previous week and has been below 30% most weeks during the past year. 

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on September 15-21, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 24, 2014

25% Say U.S. Heading in the Right Direction

Twenty-five percent (25%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending September 21.

The number who say the country is heading in the right direction is down three points from the previous week and has been below 30% most weeks during the past year. 

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on September 15-21, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 24, 2014

Voters Worry About Safety of Nuclear Plants, Torn Over Building More

U.S. Voters remain concerned about the safety of nuclear power plants in the country, but don’t think the United States should phase them out just yet.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 63% of Likely U.S. Voters are at least somewhat concerned about the safety of nuclear power plants in the United States, including 29% who are Very Concerned. One-in-three (33%) are not concerned about their safety, including just six percent (6%) who are Not At All Concerned. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 Likely U.S. Voters was conducted on September 21-22, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 24, 2014

Michigan Governor: Snyder (R) 47%, Schauer (D) 41%

Republican Governor Rick Snyder now has a slightly wider lead over Democratic challenger Mark Schauer in his reelection bid in Michigan.

Snyder picks up 47% of the vote to Schauer's 41% in the latest Rasmussen Reports statewide survey of Likely Michigan Voters. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, while nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Michigan was conducted on September 17-18, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 23, 2014

Michigan Senate: Peters (D) 41%, Land (R) 39%

Michigan's closely watched U.S. Senate contest is back to a two-point race.

Michigan now shifts from Leans Democrat back to a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports 2014 Senate Balance of Power Rankings. To see survey question wording, click here.)

September 23, 2014

Voters See Less Economic Fairness for Those Who Work Hard

Voters increasingly think the U.S. economy is unfair to small business owners and those willing to work hard.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 37% of Likely U.S. Voters think the U.S. economy is at least somewhat fair to small business owners, including just seven percent (7%) who think it’s Very Fair. That overall figure is down from 42% in May and is the lowest finding since we began asking this question early last year. Fifty-three percent (53%) don’t think it’s fair to small business owners, with 15% who say it’s not at all fair. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 17-18, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 22, 2014

Kansas Governor: Davis (D) 47%, Brownback (R) 43%

The gubernatorial race in Kansas is tighter than it’s been all year.

The race now shifts from Solid Democrat to a Toss-Up on the Rasmussen Reports 2014 Gubernatorial Scorecard. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Kansas was conducted on September 16-17, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.